The State of the Union is not good. That is actually a considerable understatement. Tonight Barack Obama will no doubt propose policies to jump start the economy and aid those in America's disintegrating middle class, the very people who have been abandoned by his and every other administration since Ronald Reagan. Lip service can not be a substitute for action, yet Americans are supposed to believe over and over again that those in Washington care about them. Nothing could be further from the truth.
The poor state of our Union has far more to with this unbridgeable divide between the government and its people than with government's partisan political divides. Let us put it another way: the tiny gap between Democrats and Republicans pales in comparison with the yawning chasm separating the government's interests and the Public Interest.
If Americans could only grasp this simple fact, and drop the pretense that the government works for them instead of for itself and the special interests it caters to, they (in politics) might stop playing these insidious, duplicitous games. If the public refused to play along, the propaganda-driven soft sell would be replaced by the Iron Fist of the powerful few, which would clarify our situation in a helpful way which seems impossible now. (This was ultimately the lesson of Occupy Wall Street.) Many seemingly insurmountable barriers, like Joe Bageant's media hologram or Paul Krugman's politically partisan and very popular commentaries, preclude the clarity we seek.
This simple point was forcefully driven home in a recent interview Bill Moyers did with David Stockman, who ironically enough served as Ronald Reagan's first budget director. The story is called David Stockman on Crony Capitalism. You can read the transcript, and I've included the video below. I was struck by this exchange that occurred near the end of the interview.
Moyers — You were disaffected with the party of your youth, the Republican Party, because it has because — it’s become dogmatic on so many of these issues and no longer listens to evidence and facts. I’m disaffected with the party of my youth because that Democratic Party served the interest of the working people in this country like Ruby and Henry Moyers. And so many people feel the same way. How do we overcome this pessimism about the American future? The Wall Street Journal had a headline on an op-ed piece that said, "The End of American Optimism." A recent survey said only 15 percent of the people were satisfied about the direction of the American people. I mean, this is a serious situation, is it not?
Stockman — I think it is... But we also have to recognize the pessimism that the public reflects in the surveys and polls is warranted. In other words the public isn't being unduly pessimistic. It's not been overcome with some kind of a false wave of emotion. No. I think the American public sees very clearly the current system isn't working, that the Federal Reserve is basically working on behalf of Wall Street, not Main Street.
The Congress is owned lock, stock and barrel by one after another, after another special interest. And they logically say how can we expect ... anything good to come out of this kind of process that seems to be getting worse. So how do we turn that around? I think it's going to take, unfortunately, a real crisis before maybe the decks can be cleared.
Moyers — What would that look like?
Stockman — It will take something even more traumatic than we had in September 2008.
Moyers — But on the basis of the record, the lessons of the past, the experience you have just recounted and are writing about, do you see any early signs that we might turn the ship from the iceberg?
Stockman — No. I think we've learned no lessons. We really have not restructured our financial system. The big banks that existed then that were too big to fail are even bigger now. The top six banks then had seven trillion of assets, now they have nine or ten trillion.
Rather than go to the fundamentals which have been totally neglected-- we've simply kind of papered over the current system and continued the game of having the Federal Reserve and the Treasury, if necessary, prop up all of this leverage and speculation, which isn't helping the economy.
And when we talk about zero interest rates. That’s not helping Main Street. Our problem in this economy is not our interest rates are too high. The zero interest rates are just more fuel for leveraged speculation, for what’s called the carry trade, and that is causing windfall benefits to the few but it’s leaving the fundamental problems of our economy in worse shape than they’ve ever been.
If you read and understood my introduction to this post, you will immediately see that it makes little sense for Stockman to say "I think we've learned no lessons." Who does "we" in this statement refer to? In government, it is not as though there is a well-meaning intention to do the right thing which has been replaced by incompetence and ignorance (lessons not learned). That's a hopeful interpretation, but entrenched corruption and cynical self-interest are an entirely different kind of beast. We're not talking about selfless public service here.
If Stockman means that a majority of the people—those who vote—have learned no lessons, his statement might be more plausible. Moyers seems to contradict that in the text, saying that only 15% of Americans are satisfied with the direction the country is moving in, but it is also true that one can be dissatisfied while also believing in the fundamental goodness of the government.
I also find Stockman's statement that it will take a crisis even more traumatic than we had in September, 2008 to turn things around implausible. If an even bigger crisis occurred, we would naturally expect more of the same—government bail-outs for the largest banks, unlimited loan guarantees to corporate special interests, no Federal prosecution of financial fraud after the fact, and so on.
The Public Interest would once again take a back seat to the powerful interests which pay to play. America's middle class and poor would take it in the shorts once again. What reason do we have to believe that anything would change in the aftermath of the next crisis? None, as Stockman admits about our current circumstances. What part of the confluence of "money", "power" and "corruption" do Moyers and Stockman not understand?
I do not mean to be overly critical of Bill Moyers and David Stockman. They are good men who I have sometimes quoted on DOTE. However, I think it is imperative that we strip away all the illusions (and delusions) which prop up the sociopolitical status quo in the United States. If change is indeed possible, and that's a Big If, it will only come in the harsh glare of the light Reality casts on our predicament.
Thus we can say in January, 2012 that the state of our Union is not good. If I were a betting man, I would say it will get much, much worse as the future unwinds and our lives unravel. As things stand, I think that it a grievous mistake to believe that an even larger crisis than we had four years ago would change anything important in the way Americans are governed. Why would a second crisis achieve what the first did not? The first crisis was clarifying in the way I've explained here, but apparently not clarifying enough.
It is far more likely that another big meltdown would merely push those in the middle class and the poor into a situation so desperate that we would see the complete disintegration of American society, a process which is already well underway. There would be little left to lose. The United States would become a Failed State. Whether anything good might come out of that disaster is an open question, but I doubt it.
Bonus Video — The Moyers/Stockman interview

"Virtual Politricks" is what we have here in America. Read this quote from an interview with an investigative reporter who spent a considerable amount of time in Russia and then came back to America:
"In Russia you have rich oligarchs funding these fake political movements, virtual politics is what they call it, and then using their minions in the media to push it forward and attack anybody who tries to expose it. I didn't realize when we put out this article in 2009 - you know we were attacked pretty seriously by people from the 'Atlantic Monthly' and so on who later turned out to have ties to the Koch brothers - I didn't realize how far down the road to a sort of Russian Oligarchy we had already gone. When you spend a lot of time in Russia, you understand how cynical oligarchs and the rich, especially when they get involved in politics, can be. One of the huge differences though is that Russians themselves have become very cynical and skeptical, but Americans are still pretty trusting and gullible, and so they keep getting hoodwinked and lead to believe that the tea Party was this completely spontaneous outbreak of protest. In fact the whole thing was guided by rich people to push their buck."
http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2006/apr/01/russia.ukraine
http://www.democracynow.org/2011/4/21/thought_control_right_wing_koch_brothers
Posted by: xraymike79 | 01/24/2012 at 02:14 PM
I'm 21 and I'm very realistic (doomsday) about the direction our nation is heading, and I just wanted to thank you for helping to clarify my world view with your wonderful blog.
Thanks a lot Dave.
Posted by: Honesty | 01/24/2012 at 05:05 PM
Dave, I love your daily missive. Keep up the great work. Thought you might enjoy this as more evidence of DOTE. The one thing Obama did right has cross currents of crony capitalism. Disheartening.
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/obama-puppetmaster-warren-buffett-biggest-winner-keystone-pipeline-rejection
Posted by: ChicagoMark | 01/24/2012 at 05:49 PM
Hi Dave,
I know you put a lot of effort into your blog and I read it regularly. I appreciate what you do - and completely understand that you're upset more people aren't paying attention to it. And the larger situation of course. The folks who are reading your blog? Many of them are already quite familiar with the DOTE themes and have little to add. We're all sitting here watching things disintegrate. Some of us are called to witness by communicating about it, and others by reading those messages. I am briefly and slightly comforted to know that others are seeing what I see and more, so I'm not alone. It's good for you to ponder your direction, but please don't be hard on yourself. Thanks for your efforts.
Dan from NYC
www.beyondoilnyc.org
Posted by: Dan Miner | 01/25/2012 at 01:42 AM
Thanks for your work Dave. I read your blog everyday.
I have discussed these issues with friends and relatives. Trying to get people to recognize the corruption is very difficult. They don't like to think about these issues.
When I tell them that gov't doesn't know who they are, doesn't work for them, that both parties have divided and conquered the public, with very little difference between them, I get a look the says maybe I'm a little wacko. Trying to get people to vote for third parties, is trying to get them to think outside-the-box. They can only do that with things they are interested in, like sports.
I don't think the problems our country has can be solved by people that are 80,70,60, or even 50 years old. These groups have already had their chance. Also half of them are receiving gov't transfer payments, so, gov't looks kind of benevolent to them.
Our country's problems will have to be solved by a much younger generation who will grow up without the benefit of the programs, but will be expected to pay for them. I think crisis will force change at some point.
Of course, only about 25% of people even graduate from high school anymore, so I might be wrong.
Posted by: Dennis Roubal | 01/25/2012 at 10:23 AM
In response to today's post, I am posting here. Not sure if you'll read it but I think it will get lost there.
I am a high school economics teacher for a large school district in Ontario, California. I teach 5 sections of macroeconomics to seniors, ages 17-18.
I follow and read this blog each and every day. I rarely comment since I don't think anyone cares about what I think or what I have to say. But I do post sometimes.
It is a common practice for me to copy and print out your essays for my entire class. I regularly use your posts as "hot topics" to launch into a classroom discussion, or to provide content for an essay question I have in mind. This blog is an indespensible tool in my lesson planning and use of writing assessments.
In the case of this particular post I not only shared it with students but posted it to the facebook pages of some of my colleagues, including our union president. I've done that MANY times with the essays you post.
But again, I didn't post anything because I don't believe anyone gives a rat's behind what I think. That's the only reason I don't often post. Who cares what I have to say? We are here to learn what YOU have to say, and to share.
I hope you will re-think your disappointment over the (perceived) non-response of the readership. Though I say little here on the site, my students and I are ALWAYS paying attention to you, and to you blog.
Thanks for all of your hard work and dedication, both are very gratefully appreciated.
Posted by: Scott | 01/25/2012 at 05:48 PM
Dave- I also read your blog each day (and I did watch the video) and like a previous poster I often feel as though I haven't much to add. I know how bad things are (at least for me).
After a fairly long period or unemployment,I once again found a good paying job in aviation. At least good paying by south Texas standards. The catch is the job is 175 miles from home and I have to live in a shitty dump during the week, then drag my tired ass home for a couple days of r&r with wife and family, home maintenance,tend my garden, spend time with my dog who must wonder why I don't play with him much any more, then drag my tireder ass back to a job I hate in a city I loathe.
I hope you continue this excellent blog. I look forward to it each day for a much needed dose of both information and reality. Your work is very much appreciated.
Posted by: Randy West | 01/25/2012 at 07:22 PM
For a blistering, scathing analysis of Obummer's SOTU, please see Nader's interview from today. It won't disappoint you:
Nader Shines a Flood Light on Reality
Posted by: xraymike79 | 01/25/2012 at 10:51 PM