Regarding our Fate here in the United States, the writing was on the wall when Americans, actual living & breathing human beings, were labeled and treated as units of consumption. Officially, we are consumers. Apparently, Americans are evaluated solely on whether they are spending enough money. Consuming boosts Gross Domestic Product, and GDP is the only thing that counts. It doesn't matter whether you've got the money or not. The virtue of Thrift, of living within your means, got tossed out the window a long, long time ago.
What happened to communities? What happened to families? Family participation in those communities? Civic duty? Service? Looking out for others? Shared responsibility? Living what philosophers call the Good Life? All this existed after World War II, but that's all over and done with now. René Descarte would be bowled over to find out that in America, human existence & identity are defined by I consume, therefore I am.
I have made the point that many Americans live on the edge. So many of them live paycheck-to-paycheck, if they get a paycheck, that is—41 million on are food stamps, while one in seven live below the poverty line. I view this kind of terror-filled vulnerability as a problem. But that's not a problem here in America, that's a policy. Working your ass off every week and then spending everything you make—or more, if you use credit, which is encouraged—this is the magic that makes the economy grow.
The Census Bureau released the August retail sales numbers. They went up! The flacks on NPR couldn't get the words out fast enough: retail sales increased—hoorah!—lessening the chances of a double dip. The tone was celebratory. We're saved!
We're so fucking anxious to see Americans spending money—this is their most important, if not sole, purpose in life—that the Census Bureau gooses the numbers to increase our general Happiness. Mish points out that State sales tax receipts don't reflect an increase in retail sales, even though those tax rates have been increased in many cases as the states try to make ends meet. He doesn't believe the official numbers, and he shouldn't. He uses this chart from Calculated Risk.
I think Mish should have taken a closer look at the chart. Conveniently for us, Calculated Risk separates out gasoline sales (ex-gasoline, in red) from all retail sales (in blue), which rose 0.4% according to the Census Bureau, with an error margin of ±0.5%. You can see that sales ex-gasoline were essentially flat, so fuel purchases drove up much of the increase in retail sales. It was August, the last full month of summer. People drove more.
Increasing your consumption is the most important thing, it is our all-consuming ambition. It doesn't fucking matter what you consume. Are you buying more gasoline? If so, that's considered a Good Thing. As a result, the Sacred GDP goes up, and what could possibly be more important than that? It doesn't fucking matter that we imported 60% of our crude oil inputs to refineries last week. As long as the GDP number goes up, as long as you're buying more stuff, whether it's refined hydrocarbons or Apple's iShit, it's all good.
America has consumption disease, and I'm not talking about tuberculosis. We're not well, OK? We're sick! It was our self-destructive consumption binge over the last few decades that helped create our anemic condition now. I don't have time today to talk about trade deficits or other details, but here's a lesson you might draw even without the details—
More indiscriminate consumption is not the answer to what ails us
You don't have to be Sigmund Freud to understand that if you're engaged in a self-destructive behavior, the only way to regain your health is to stop behaving that way. But the disease goes even deeper than that. We are constantly characterized as consumers. Thus we think of ourselves, consciously or not, as consumers. What a truly impoverished view of the human being that is!
Now that you've read this, you are properly prepared to watch this Tech Ticker video The Consumer Comes Alive! It seems that the consumer is more "calculating" now than he used to be, less "conspicuous" in his consumption. Where's the bucket? — I need to throw up.
I leave it as an exercise for the reader to count the number of times Marshall Cohen (no relation) says the noun phrase the consumer (or the plural consumers) in this video.
"Consumer" is uttered about 15 times; lots of pronouns and one "Americans" are also employed. But isn't Cohen describing deflationary pressures when he says "consumers" are waiting for incentives to buy and the main incentive is lower prices?
Posted by: Dan | 09/15/2010 at 10:54 AM
I counted 22 consumer or consumers; I didn't differentiate between the two. Twenty-three total if you count the word consumer in the splash screen "The Consumer Strikes Back!" As Dan mentioned "Americans" was used at least once, maybe twice.
Sad.
And I love how Cohen is bullish in the short run on home & garden retailers. He states that "now that people realize they are stuck in their current homes" they are more willing to spend money in that area.
Methinks that maybe those folks are planting some gardens so they have something to eat rather than a new pair of jeans or the mighty margarita maker!
Posted by: Mike | 09/15/2010 at 02:21 PM
I've long considered our nation as having a lack of self-respect. We are always looking never content, never satisfied, always afraid to be out done. Here's one for you Dave, an Antidote du Jour for hump day (of course the antidote is about self-respect and not giving in):
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tY5x8pF512k
and background...
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hey_Hey,_My_My_%28Into_the_Black%29
Posted by: jcg1969 | 09/15/2010 at 05:37 PM
Dave, I'm not sure that chart shows August's figures. Calculating from the Census Bureau's release, total sales excluding gasoline went up from $326,987M in July to $327,816M in August. The ex-gasoline total in July was slightly down from June's. Does the chart end in July?
Posted by: TonyWeddle | 09/16/2010 at 05:54 AM
Buy the way, isn't paying more for what you buy, factored out (at least partially) by adjusting for inflation in the GDP figure?
Posted by: TonyWeddle | 09/16/2010 at 05:58 AM
Tony,
The chart does show the August retail sales numbers, or Calculated Risk made a mistake. In any case, the ex-gasoline tally tells a different story than total sales does. The large gap between the two narrowed during the recession (assuming it's over) and has widened since. That's not a GOOD trend, is it? But any increase in retail sales is universally celebrated.
I would say that August ex-gasoline sales were flat. (I added the word "essentially" in the text to make you happy.)
Regarding GDP, these sales numbers are not inflation-adjusted. So everybody is celebrating a rise in NOMINAL GDP. Yes, they will be adjusted by means of the GDP deflator when calculating REAL GDP by the BEA. And in fact, to the extent to which retail sales boosted the trade deficit--people bought more imported goods than there were exports--GDP will be lowered (Ex-Im).
But I didn't want to get into all these messy details. I certainly hope you understood the larger point. You seem to be a little too concerned about a preliminary 0.25% rise in retail sales ex-gasoline. On the other hand, I do get a little carried away sometimes when I write this stuff up.
Therefore I removed the text concerning paying more for what you buy raising GDP since, as you point out, that's not true in REAL terms.
-- Dave
Posted by: Dave Cohen | 09/16/2010 at 08:07 AM
This "consumer" word is really Orwellian, a true sign of our epoch's subordination to corporate capital.
If anybody's interested, here's my take:
http://www.consumertrap.com/consumer-bias
Posted by: Michael Dawson | 09/16/2010 at 02:08 PM
Dave,
Thanks for the adjustments. I'm not really concerned with the minutiae myself, but I know critics jump on any possible error, because it allows them to convince themselves that your stories are all rubbish. So, having noticed a discrepancy in the news reports, from what you wrote here, I felt I ought to check the figures and they didn't appear to paint quite the same picture as you did here.
I often forget to praise your down to earth analyses, which apply to many other developed nations (as the global stuff, like dying oceans, does, anyway). Great work. Your blog is a must read for me and I agree with almost everything you have written so far. However, I do miss the in-depth analyses that you sometimes (weekly, I think) put out for ASPO-USA, in the past.
Posted by: Tony Weddle | 09/17/2010 at 09:21 PM